- In the short-term (next 12–24 months), I’d expect a modest slowdown or flattening of large VC growth-rounds in NYC simply due to uncertainty and re-adjustment.
- In the medium-term (2–5 yrs), if Mamdani’s admin articulates and delivers a clear, startup-friendly framework (affordability + infrastructure + regulation support), NYC could regain momentum — especially in sectors aligned with his agenda (social tech, climate, inclusive economy).
- Many VCs will still commit to NYC — the deep ecosystem, talent pool, corporate headquarters, global finance still matter — but there may be a shift in composition: more early stage, more “impact” and fewer ultra-high valuations until clarity is achieved.
